Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1083.442091 1241.144232 1421.309618 1644.007004 1914.144819 2234.142726 2646.286525
2025-01-05 828.007652 1019.022251 1259.208966 1589.362268 2041.092723 2652.596587 3570.563933
2025-01-12 695.555753 893.363254 1157.007793 1544.542879 2118.579400 2970.815924 4402.395150
2025-01-19 601.288647 797.446580 1070.734617 1494.049266 2162.458287 3234.311527 5220.734710
2025-01-26 562.240095 769.343991 1070.773905 1563.046663 2393.643166 3840.474679 6834.779019
2025-02-02 523.803184 735.653013 1055.543370 1602.280862 2580.396600 4417.816414 8643.676515
2025-02-09 489.732234 703.547440 1036.997581 1630.575903 2750.960316 5011.108366 10779.958507
2025-02-16 453.629668 663.844884 1000.513131 1620.582211 2845.824471 5477.240738 12866.987290
2025-02-23 432.962734 646.161495 997.457814 1668.855654 3064.616035 6284.001147 16414.710193
2025-03-02 413.931675 628.940858 992.620317 1712.156087 3282.274425 7167.016975 20915.467360
2025-03-09 391.370368 603.508526 970.205840 1717.119491 3416.039187 7887.093123 25522.621978
2025-03-16 367.523151 573.721135 936.663393 1694.294824 3480.018159 8441.300452 30057.322403
2025-03-23 351.609429 557.518301 928.465759 1727.869482 3702.680400 9607.626706 39255.583633
2025-03-30 325.816417 521.844349 880.343103 1669.211467 3679.920197 10001.639899 45148.898520
2025-04-06 304.093242 491.737463 839.873100 1621.508876 3675.585848 10464.998509 52439.914590
2025-04-13 283.879152 462.885948 799.188475 1567.739481 3643.105048 10821.625436 59898.896688
2025-04-20 278.594655 461.207116 812.253723 1641.214503 3997.180154 12894.071299 87723.364753
2025-04-27 270.480213 453.481312 812.134237 1683.021886 4270.608755 14844.704803 123762.965432
2025-05-04 261.879773 444.120094 807.608766 1713.184877 4518.131536 16889.106496 174603.438347
2025-05-11 250.500354 428.511051 788.322971 1702.530282 4627.294392 18338.148384 228620.861628
2025-05-18 244.891875 423.867993 792.267958 1754.007672 4973.474162 21456.188241 360543.361845
2025-05-25 239.151747 418.515437 794.090665 1800.206473 5319.639284 25008.731075 590867.655737
2025-06-01 230.870131 407.418459 781.965323 1805.503569 5511.421902 27787.267312 897610.129311